October 11, 2012 North Myrtle Beach, SC - Not many weather forecast organizations are willing to go beyond a seven day forecast, go out on a limb and make long range predictions. NOAA’s Climate Prediction center is an exception – at least on a large geographical scale.
Feb 2012 photo by Dan SummittGo to their web site - http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ - and visitors can find predictions for 6-10 days, 8-14 days, one month and three months.
Can NOAA’s data be used to tell whether on any given day it will be hot or cold? Wet or dry? Certainly not – for that you check the weather icon on our front page. But for long term planning – will we have a mild fall? Will October be colder or wetter than normal? Then the information is useful.
What does the data say? NOAA estimates, with a 50 to 60 % probability that the South Carolina low country October temperatures, on the average, will be below normal and precipitation will be above the 3 inch normal. NOAA lists the average October daily temperature range of 55 at night to 75 during the day – so expect something cooler than that range. Looks like good golfing or beach strolling weather!
November and December lift the temperature statistics and NOAA estimates the rest of the fall will return to normal with November averaging a daily high of 69 and low of 46 degrees and December 61 and 39 degrees respectively. Chance of snow – maybe. The South Carolina Low Country has an average of 9 days in December with a low at night below freezing and coupled with a higher than average expected precipitation, snow just might happen. However, except for those nine days, still good golfing and beach strolling weather.